Milan vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
NOV
1 - 1
ACM
24%
23%
53%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ACM
4 - 0
FIO
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
INT
1 - 1
ACM
50%
22%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 0
BOL
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
TOR
1 - 2
ACM
27%
23%
50%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1955 |
ROM
1 - 0
TOR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1955 |
ROM
0 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1955 |
JUV
1 - 1
ROM
78%
13%
9%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1955 |
ROM
3 - 0
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1955 |
NAP
2 - 0
ROM
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |