Milan vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1974 |
ACM
2 - 0
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
VER
2 - 1
ACM
17%
25%
58%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
FIO
3 - 2
ACM
35%
27%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 1
BOL
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
1 - 5
INT
59%
23%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
NAP
3 - 3
LAZ
47%
29%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
CES
1 - 1
NAP
38%
31%
31%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1974 |
NAP
1 - 1
ROM
54%
27%
19%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1974 |
VIC
2 - 1
NAP
38%
31%
31%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1974 |
NAP
2 - 1
FIO
43%
30%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |