Milan vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VER
1 - 2
ACM
32%
28%
41%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
0 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ACM
1 - 1
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
PRG
0 - 1
ACM
37%
28%
36%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ACM
2 - 0
PES
76%
17%
8%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PRG
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
TOR
1 - 0
LAZ
74%
16%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
LAZ
1 - 0
FIO
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NAP
4 - 3
LAZ
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
USF
3 - 1
LAZ
41%
29%
30%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |