Milan vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACM
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASL
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 1
ACM
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1938 |
JUV
0 - 1
ACL
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
BOL
0 - 0
JUV
54%
22%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
TRI
2 - 0
JUV
37%
26%
37%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
JUV
0 - 0
ROM
66%
18%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
GEN
1 - 2
JUV
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |