Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
ASL
0 - 0
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
ACM
4 - 1
USA
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
ACM
0 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
SAM
3 - 1
ACM
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
INT
0 - 1
BOL
72%
16%
12%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOV
3 - 5
INT
13%
20%
67%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
INT
1 - 2
TRI
79%
13%
8%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
GEN
2 - 2
INT
41%
24%
35%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
INT
2 - 0
BAR
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |