Milan vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
BOL
1 - 1
ACM
58%
20%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
3 - 1
ROM
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
NAP
2 - 1
ACM
54%
21%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
1 - 0
MOD
85%
10%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
ACM
4 - 1
BRE
66%
18%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1929 |
INT
3 - 2
USC
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
LAZ
1 - 1
INT
45%
24%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
INT
2 - 1
BOL
67%
17%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
LEO
1 - 0
INT
38%
24%
38%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
LIV
1 - 2
INT
34%
24%
41%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | +1 |