Milan vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ACM
0 - 2
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2009 |
ZUR
1 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
62%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ACM
3 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
CAT
0 - 2
ACM
19%
24%
57%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2009 |
GEN
1 - 2
VCF
21%
21%
58%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LAZ
1 - 0
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
20%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2009 |
SLP
0 - 0
GEN
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
SAM
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |