Milan vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
FCC
3 - 0
ACM
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 1
INT
35%
31%
34%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
ACM
0 - 1
JUV
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
NAP
0 - 1
ACM
53%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
64%
24%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
COM
1 - 1
FCC
41%
31%
28%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1981 |
NAP
2 - 0
COM
72%
20%
8%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1981 |
COM
2 - 2
BOL
37%
33%
31%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1981 |
JUV
3 - 1
COM
85%
11%
4%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |