Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Milan vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
24.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
ACM
3 - 1
USC
66%
22%
12%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
LAZ
4 - 0
ACM
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
GEN
1 - 1
ACM
30%
28%
42%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ACM
1 - 1
CAG
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1995 |
ACM
2 - 0
ARS
59%
25%
16%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
1 - 1
UDL
86%
10%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 1
FAM
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1995 |
VST
1 - 2
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
SLB
3 - 1
UNM
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |