Milan vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
ACM
27%
25%
48%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 4
ACM
16%
26%
59%
|
94 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 3
PAR
76%
16%
8%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 3
ACM
17%
24%
59%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
ACM
4 - 0
MES
80%
14%
6%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
ASC
3 - 1
EMP
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
LAZ
4 - 1
ASC
75%
17%
9%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRE
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 1
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 1
REG
37%
29%
34%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |