Milan vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
ACL
1 - 1
ACM
56%
21%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
JUV
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1938 |
ACM
0 - 1
BOL
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
GEN
0 - 1
ACM
59%
21%
19%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ACM
3 - 1
FIO
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 1938 |
TOR
2 - 4
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1938 |
INT
9 - 2
BAR
77%
14%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1938 |
BAR
3 - 1
NAP
43%
24%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
52%
22%
25%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1937 |
ACL
5 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |