Middlesbrough vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
NTT
2 - 2
MID
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
MID
3 - 0
DER
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
MID
1 - 1
MUD
35%
28%
37%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1980 |
COV
2 - 0
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
CRY
1 - 2
MID
39%
29%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
STO
1 - 1
MUD
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
CRY
0 - 1
STO
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
STO
1 - 0
BRI
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
STO
0 - 1
IPS
32%
28%
40%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 0
STO
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |