Middlesbrough vs Nottingham Forest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1923 |
NOT
1 - 0
MID
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
MID
0 - 1
WHU
76%
16%
9%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
WHU
1 - 1
MID
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
MID
0 - 1
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
TOT
2 - 1
MID
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1923 |
NTT
1 - 0
NOT
52%
26%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1923 |
NOT
2 - 1
NTT
48%
26%
27%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 0
BUR
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1923 |
BUR
2 - 4
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1923 |
WBA
3 - 2
NTT
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |