Middlesbrough vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
19%
22%
59%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
DER
2 - 1
MID
56%
24%
21%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
MID
0 - 0
WIM
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
MID
5 - 1
HUR
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
CHL
1 - 1
NEW
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1996 |
MET
1 - 1
NEW
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1996 |
NEW
1 - 1
WHU
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1996 |
NEW
3 - 1
MID
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1996 |
NEW
4 - 0
FTC
68%
19%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |