Middlesbrough vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
33.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
TOT
1 - 2
MID
51%
25%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
MID
1 - 0
TOT
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1979 |
MID
2 - 2
MUD
35%
26%
39%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
MID
2 - 1
BIR
55%
25%
20%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
BRI
1 - 1
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
LEE
1 - 1
IPS
63%
21%
16%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1979 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEE
42%
26%
32%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1979 |
MUD
4 - 1
LEE
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1979 |
DER
0 - 1
LEE
44%
26%
31%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
LEE
2 - 2
NOR
68%
18%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |