Non League Premier Sur Central round 28

Mickleover Sports FC vs St Ives Town analysis

Mickleover Sports FC St Ives Town
48 ELO 47
5.4% Tilt 4.4%
4757º General ELO ranking 5384º
176º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
59%
Mickleover Sports FC
21.4%
Draw
19.6%
St Ives Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
Mickleover Sports FC
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.6%
Win probability
St Ives Town
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mickleover Sports FC
-42%
-26%
St Ives Town

Points and table prediction

Mickleover Sports FC
Their league position
St Ives Town
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
64
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Telford United
86
86
32.5%
Needham Market
85
85
45%
Mickleover Sports FC
84
85
56.5%
Leamington
72
73
64.5%
Redditch United
70
70
36%
Stratford Town
69
70
35.5%
Stamford
67
68
41%
Nuneaton Town
20º
34
66
25%
St Ives Town
64
64
69%
Halesowen Town
62
62
10º
61.5%
Royston Town
10º
57
58
11º
69%
Coalville Town
11º
55
56
12º
46.5%
Stourbridge
14º
52
55
13º
9.5%
Barwell
13º
54
55
14º
45%
Leiston
12º
55
55
15º
3.5%
Kettering Town
15º
48
48
16º
99%
AFC Sudbury
16º
46
46
17º
65%
Alvechurch FC
17º
45
45
18º
49.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
18º
44
44
19º
64.5%
Hitchin Town
19º
43
43
20º
100%
Berkhamsted
21º
24
24
21º
89.5%
Long Eaton United
22º
22
22
22º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Mickleover Sports FC
St Ives Town
Promotion
35% 0%
Promotion play-offs
65% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Mickleover Sports FC
St Ives Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mickleover Sports FC
Mickleover Sports FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
BER
Berkhamsted
0 - 1
Mickleover Sports FC
MIC
10%
18%
72%
49 30 19 0
09 Jan. 2024
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
2 - 1
Stourbridge
STO
64%
20%
16%
49 42 7 0
06 Jan. 2024
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
0 - 1
AFC Telford United
AFC
66%
20%
15%
50 44 6 -1
26 Dec. 2023
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
5 - 1
Long Eaton United
LON
85%
11%
4%
50 23 27 0
23 Dec. 2023
HIT
Hitchin Town
2 - 2
Mickleover Sports FC
MIC
30%
26%
44%
51 46 5 -1

Matches

St Ives Town
St Ives Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 2024
STI
St Ives Town
3 - 0
Nuneaton Town
NUN
41%
24%
35%
44 46 2 0
06 Jan. 2024
STI
St Ives Town
5 - 0
Leiston
LEI
30%
24%
47%
41 47 6 +3
01 Jan. 2024
STA
Stamford
4 - 2
St Ives Town
STI
64%
20%
17%
42 47 5 -1
26 Dec. 2023
STI
St Ives Town
6 - 0
Kettering Town
KET
49%
23%
28%
41 40 1 +1
23 Dec. 2023
LEA
Leamington
3 - 1
St Ives Town
STI
50%
25%
25%
42 47 5 -1