USL Championship Temporada Regular round 41

Miami FC vs Monterey Bay analysis

Miami FC Monterey Bay
54 ELO 33
3.8% Tilt 6.4%
4345º General ELO ranking 4400º
83º Country ELO ranking 85º
ELO win probability
85.4%
Miami FC
10.6%
Draw
4.1%
Monterey Bay

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
Miami FC
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4%
Win probability
Monterey Bay
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Miami FC
-55%
-8%
Monterey Bay

ELO progression

Miami FC
Monterey Bay
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Miami FC
Miami FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2022
MIA
Miami FC
2 - 2
Atlanta United II
AFC
82%
13%
6%
55 36 19 0
10 Sep. 2022
NYO
New York RB II
1 - 7
Miami FC
MIA
12%
19%
69%
55 33 22 0
04 Sep. 2022
MIA
Miami FC
1 - 1
Birmingham Legion
BLE
47%
25%
28%
55 55 0 0
28 Aug. 2022
MIA
Miami FC
1 - 0
Louisville City
LOU
24%
25%
51%
54 64 10 +1
21 Aug. 2022
HAA
Hartford Athletic
0 - 2
Miami FC
MIA
28%
25%
47%
53 44 9 +1

Matches

Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2022
MBF
Monterey Bay
3 - 3
Phoenix Rising
ARI
10%
17%
74%
32 50 18 0
18 Sep. 2022
MBF
Monterey Bay
5 - 0
Indy Eleven
IND
11%
19%
70%
25 45 20 +7
08 Sep. 2022
MBF
Monterey Bay
1 - 0
Orange County SC
ORA
6%
15%
79%
24 50 26 +1
04 Sep. 2022
MBF
Monterey Bay
3 - 1
San Diego Loyal
SDL
5%
14%
80%
22 55 33 +2
28 Aug. 2022
MBF
Monterey Bay
0 - 2
Ventura County
LAG
7%
15%
79%
23 47 24 -1