Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 0-5
México FC vs Rayo Vallecano B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PNT
2 - 0
ALC
21%
25%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
ALC
16%
24%
60%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 1
ATM
59%
22%
20%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
1 - 3
COL
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ALC
0 - 2
RVB
31%
30%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
RVB
2 - 0
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
RVB
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
RVB
1 - 0
OVI
34%
29%
37%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATB
2 - 2
RVB
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |