México FC vs AD Parla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
SFN
1 - 1
MEX
23%
25%
52%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
MEX
0 - 0
INT
56%
24%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COL
1 - 3
MEX
12%
22%
66%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MEX
0 - 0
ARA
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 2
MEX
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
AD Parla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 1
RVB
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CVI
2 - 3
ADP
7%
17%
77%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
ADP
1 - 0
SSR
28%
29%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ADA
2 - 0
ADP
48%
26%
26%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ADP
0 - 2
ALC
46%
27%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |