Tercera Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 3-1
México FC vs Gimnástica Torrelavega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
México FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALC
1 - 0
SDL
26%
24%
51%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
SDL
1 - 0
ALC
64%
21%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
CDM
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ALC
0 - 0
ALC
20%
26%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
STA
0 - 2
ALC
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástica Torrelavega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
ATB
2 - 0
GIM
47%
26%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 1
ATB
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 0
RAY
85%
11%
4%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
GIM
11%
22%
68%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
GIM
0 - 0
LAR
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |