Mexicali FC vs Leones Negros II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
44%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
1
11º
12º
12º
1
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
4 | 24 |
1º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
3 | 23 |
2º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 22 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 21 |
4º
|
26% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 18 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
3 | 17 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 14 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
|
10º
|
1 | 12 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 11 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
3º
|
4 | 11 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
1 | 9 |
12º
|
40% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
9% | 21.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
91% | 78.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexicali FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
0 - 0
MFC
17%
19%
64%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
TRI
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
TDA
1 - 0
MFC
11%
16%
74%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
2 - 0
DUR
21%
25%
55%
|
33 | 61 | 28 | +2 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
MFC
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 0
DUR
15%
23%
62%
|
38 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ADG
2 - 0
LEO
10%
15%
74%
|
41 | 7 | 34 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEO
0 - 1
CSI
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CSI
1 - 0
LEO
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LEO
4 - 1
ATS
21%
25%
54%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +2 |