Metz vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
LOR
1 - 0
MET
31%
28%
42%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2001 |
MET
2 - 0
GIR
36%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2001 |
TFC
2 - 1
MET
32%
28%
39%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
MET
1 - 0
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
GUI
1 - 3
MET
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2001 |
WOL
2 - 2
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2001 |
TRO
3 - 0
GUI
56%
25%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2001 |
TRO
1 - 0
WOL
39%
27%
35%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2001 |
AIK
1 - 2
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2001 |
TRO
2 - 1
AIK
54%
25%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |