Metz vs Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
SOC
1 - 1
MET
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
MET
3 - 0
ASS
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
RED
1 - 1
MET
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1975 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
MON
1 - 2
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
STR
2 - 1
NIC
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
ANG
5 - 1
STR
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
STR
3 - 0
REI
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
LIL
2 - 1
STR
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
STR
1 - 1
SOC
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |