Metz vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 1
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
MET
0 - 1
TFC
48%
28%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
SOC
2 - 1
MET
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
MET
1 - 1
REN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
IST
2 - 0
SOC
21%
28%
51%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
LIL
8 - 0
IST
67%
22%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
IST
1 - 1
NIC
28%
27%
45%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
IST
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
IST
0 - 1
GIR
24%
27%
49%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |