Metz vs Avignon AS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
BAS
3 - 2
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
MET
4 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
SOC
3 - 2
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
MET
5 - 0
STR
64%
20%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 0
REI
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 0
STR
44%
25%
31%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1976 |
BAS
2 - 0
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
MON
42%
24%
34%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1976 |
SOC
1 - 1
ASA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |