Metz vs Amiens SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
1º
10º
3º
15
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
19 | 64 |
1º
|
39.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 63 |
2º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 60 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 51 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 51 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 50 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 49 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 48 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
|
8º
|
15 | 48 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 47 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 47 |
11º
|
7% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 46 |
12º
|
8% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 41 |
15º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 35 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 32 |
17º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 31 |
18º
|
31% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
34% | 5.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
37.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TRO
2 - 1
MET
22%
26%
52%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
MET
6 - 0
FCM
65%
22%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
LOR
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
PFC
1 - 2
MET
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MET
1 - 1
STL
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Amiens SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
2 - 1
ROD
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
CAE
2 - 1
AMI
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
CLE
30%
29%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ANN
3 - 0
AMI
45%
26%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AMI
1 - 0
LOR
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |