Metz II vs Drancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAE
3 - 3
MET
45%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
SOC
50%
25%
26%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
MET
49%
26%
25%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
MET
3 - 0
RAO
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
MOU
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
JUR
4 - 0
DRA
64%
21%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 1
AUB
22%
25%
53%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SAR
1 - 1
DRA
70%
19%
11%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
DRA
1 - 3
FLE
38%
27%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |