Metz II vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
6º
13º
6º
32
4º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
RAO
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 2
MET
45%
23%
33%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
MET
40%
23%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEZ
4 - 0
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
BEL
1 - 0
TRO
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 2
REI
46%
23%
31%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
THL
1 - 0
BEL
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
STR
3 - 1
BEL
42%
23%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |