Metropolitano vs Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 0
MET
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
LON
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
MET
3 - 2
BOA
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MET
0 - 0
JEC
26%
25%
49%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
FFL
2 - 1
MET
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 2
GUA
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
36%
26%
39%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 3
LON
19%
24%
58%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 0
PEL
66%
21%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
PEL
1 - 1
PEN
25%
27%
47%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |