Metallurg Lipetsk vs Zenit Penza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Metallurg Lipetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ARS
1 - 0
MET
78%
15%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
IRT
0 - 0
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
MET
1 - 1
FOT
34%
26%
41%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2023 |
MET
1 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KAL
5 - 2
MET
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Zenit Penza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ORE
1 - 0
ZEN
42%
24%
35%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 2
SAL
13%
21%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ZVE
1 - 1
ZEN
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
2 - 2
FKK
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
0 - 1
SAK
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |