ACR Messina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
56.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
MES
76%
17%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
PAL
2 - 2
MES
79%
15%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MES
1 - 1
PIC
28%
27%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FRA
5 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
PAG
38%
27%
36%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
USF
1 - 1
FIA
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
RPO
2 - 1
USF
18%
24%
57%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
JUS
3 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
USF
1 - 3
LAT
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USF
1 - 1
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |