ACR Messina vs Cremonese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
21.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 3
ANC
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
MES
55%
27%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
MES
2 - 1
LIC
67%
21%
13%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
EMP
1 - 0
MES
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
MES
4 - 1
PIA
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cremonese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1988 |
USC
2 - 3
UDI
45%
28%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1988 |
ANC
1 - 1
USC
49%
28%
23%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
USC
1 - 0
EMP
46%
30%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
COS
0 - 1
USC
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
USC
1 - 1
ASS
59%
26%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |