ACR Messina vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
MES
2 - 0
MOD
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MES
0 - 2
BOL
23%
25%
52%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 0
MES
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
MES
1 - 1
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
MAN
2 - 2
MES
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
SAM
0 - 0
TOR
52%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
SAM
1 - 0
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
VIC
1 - 3
SAM
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1963 |
SAM
1 - 2
ACM
22%
24%
54%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |