ACR Messina vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 2
MES
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
MES
3 - 0
FIO
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
VNZ
2 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
MES
1 - 0
VER
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 3
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
GEN
1 - 1
PAL
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAL
0 - 1
GEN
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 2
TRI
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
FIO
2 - 2
GEN
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
VIC
0 - 0
GEN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |