ACR Messina vs Ebolitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AEE
1 - 1
MES
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
FCI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 3
MES
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
MES
0 - 5
USV
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
MES
2 - 2
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ebolitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
EBO
2 - 2
GEL
35%
24%
42%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
ASD
2 - 1
EBO
76%
14%
10%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
EBO
2 - 2
CCI
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ACI
2 - 0
EBO
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EBO
1 - 0
POR
51%
21%
28%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |