ACR Messina vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
FCI
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 4
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 2
BAR
11%
21%
68%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 1
CCI
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 1
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
CCI
44%
23%
34%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |