Mérignac-Arlac vs Aixoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
10.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérignac-Arlac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
20%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 0
COG
50%
22%
28%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
POI
1 - 1
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
LES
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BAY
2 - 0
MAR
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |