Venados FC vs Celaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Venados FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 1
MER
54%
23%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
MER
5 - 3
DEL
40%
26%
35%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EST
2 - 2
MER
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
DEL
1 - 0
MER
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
MER
1 - 2
AUR
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
EST
37%
25%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
AUR
1 - 1
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2013 |
EST
6 - 1
TOR
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 1
NEC
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |