Mérida AD U19 vs Numancia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
4º
16º
15º
23
11º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida AD U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RMA
7 - 0
MER
92%
6%
2%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MER
1 - 0
RCA
21%
20%
59%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MER
0 - 2
UDL
47%
23%
31%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FUE
5 - 0
MER
36%
22%
43%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MER
1 - 2
GET
42%
24%
35%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NUM
4 - 2
FUE
24%
22%
54%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GET
3 - 3
NUM
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NUM
1 - 1
VAD
7%
15%
79%
|
6 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CIA
3 - 0
NUM
65%
19%
16%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NUM
0 - 5
ATM
5%
12%
84%
|
8 | 39 | 31 | -1 |