Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Mérida CP vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
VIL
1 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1993 |
MER
1 - 0
HER
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
MER
2 - 0
EIB
56%
26%
18%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1993 |
MER
3 - 0
RUB
78%
14%
9%
|
65 | 28 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
ESP
3 - 0
MER
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
VCF
3 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
RAY
3 - 1
LOG
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1993 |
RAY
1 - 2
ATH
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1993 |
RAY
4 - 0
COR
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 26 | 47 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
LLE
0 - 1
RAY
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |