Copa Federacion Last 16
Global 8-2
AD Mérida vs CD Badajoz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
MAD
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAD
0 - 0
SEV
36%
30%
34%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 0
JUM
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAD
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
MAD
1 - 1
CAD
17%
25%
57%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
PUE
2 - 2
CDB
14%
18%
68%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 1
CDZ
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2015 |
CDB
1 - 1
GRA
20%
24%
56%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ASJ
1 - 0
CDB
11%
17%
72%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
GRA
2 - 4
CDB
77%
15%
9%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | +2 |