Merelbeke vs Sparta Ursel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Merelbeke
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
KRU
2 - 0
MER
64%
19%
17%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
DEJ
38%
24%
38%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
DIK
5 - 2
MER
66%
18%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MER
0 - 3
ZEL
26%
23%
51%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
MAL
60%
19%
20%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sparta Ursel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
2 - 3
MAL
35%
22%
43%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
RCL
0 - 1
SPA
76%
14%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
3 - 1
LOC
47%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
APP
1 - 1
SPA
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 2
JON
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |