Tercera RFEF XI - Islas Baleares round 1

Mercadal vs Inter Manacor analysis

Mercadal Inter Manacor
26 ELO 17
-6.4% Tilt -14.5%
9802º General ELO ranking 16523º
391º Country ELO ranking 3088º
ELO win probability
71.4%
Mercadal
17.2%
Draw
11.5%
Inter Manacor

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
Mercadal
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.5%
Win probability
Inter Manacor
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mercadal
-6%
-26%
Inter Manacor

Points and table prediction

Mercadal
Their league position
Inter Manacor
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
12º
10º
10
15º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SD Ibiza
87
87
100%
Mallorca B
74
74
0%
Poblense
74
74
0%
Platges de Calvià
63
63
100%
Manacor
62
62
100%
Santanyi
56
56
100%
Constància
53
53
100%
UE Alcudia
49
49
100%
Llosetense
49
49
100%
Mercadal
10º
45
45
10º
100%
Binissalem
11º
43
43
11º
100%
SD Portmany
12º
42
42
12º
100%
UD Collerense
13º
38
38
13º
100%
Felanitx
14º
35
35
14º
100%
CE Alaior
15º
31
31
15º
100%
UD Arenal
16º
26
26
16º
100%
Soller
17º
17
17
17º
100%
Inter Manacor
18º
10
10
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Mercadal
Inter Manacor
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Mercadal
Inter Manacor
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mercadal
Mercadal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
MER
Mercadal
1 - 0
Santanyi
SNF
28%
24%
48%
24 32 8 0
15 Apr. 2023
BNS
Binissalem
2 - 1
Mercadal
MER
34%
26%
40%
25 22 3 -1
08 Apr. 2023
MER
Mercadal
0 - 3
Poblense
PBL
28%
24%
49%
26 35 9 -1
02 Apr. 2023
POR
SD Portmany
2 - 0
Mercadal
MER
39%
25%
37%
27 24 3 -1
25 Mar. 2023
MER
Mercadal
2 - 0
Inter Manacor
IMA
67%
19%
14%
27 20 7 0

Matches

Inter Manacor
Inter Manacor
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
AND
CE Andratx
3 - 0
Inter Manacor
IMA
86%
10%
4%
18 42 24 0
16 Apr. 2023
IMA
Inter Manacor
2 - 3
Platges de Calvià
CFP
24%
26%
50%
19 30 11 -1
05 Apr. 2023
SJO
CD Sant Jordi
2 - 2
Inter Manacor
IMA
16%
21%
63%
19 10 9 0
01 Apr. 2023
IMA
Inter Manacor
1 - 2
Llosetense
LLO
17%
22%
61%
20 32 12 -1
25 Mar. 2023
MER
Mercadal
2 - 0
Inter Manacor
IMA
67%
19%
14%
20 27 7 0