Melita vs Victoria Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
0 - 2
NAX
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 2
ZEB
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MQA
0 - 0
MEL
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
LIJ
5 - 1
MEL
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Victoria Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 3
VIC
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 4
LAW
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ATT
1 - 3
VIC
44%
24%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIC
3 - 0
MUN
90%
9%
2%
|
27 | 7 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
QOR
1 - 0
VIC
88%
9%
3%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |