UD Melilla vs San Roque de Lepe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.4%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
24.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
MAL
1 - 0
MEL
53%
27%
21%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
MEL
1 - 2
EXT
25%
31%
44%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
EST
2 - 2
MEL
36%
32%
32%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
MEL
0 - 0
RJA
31%
33%
37%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
ALM
1 - 0
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
San Roque de Lepe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
SRQ
3 - 2
MAS
73%
18%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1994 |
SEV
1 - 1
SRQ
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1994 |
SRQ
1 - 0
CDM
40%
30%
31%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 1994 |
SRQ
1 - 0
MAL
42%
28%
31%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 1994 |
EXT
2 - 0
SRQ
81%
14%
6%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | -1 |