UD Melilla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
20%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
RCD
3 - 2
MEL
63%
19%
18%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 1
GRA
67%
17%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
HER
3 - 2
MEL
65%
19%
16%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MEL
2 - 3
SLA
66%
18%
17%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1952 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ATB
1 - 1
MUR
55%
21%
24%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
MUR
4 - 2
RCD
65%
18%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
GRA
0 - 1
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
MUR
1 - 2
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SLA
2 - 1
MUR
52%
22%
26%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |