Melias vs Maceda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
31.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
0 - 3
MEL
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MEL
4 - 3
RUA
75%
14%
11%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MON
4 - 0
MEL
39%
23%
39%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 5
SPO
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SDN
2 - 1
MEL
51%
23%
26%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Maceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 0
APE
63%
19%
18%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CEN
2 - 1
MAC
60%
19%
21%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
MAC
1 - 1
UDB
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAC
15%
17%
68%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAC
0 - 2
VER
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |