Melbourne Victory vs Perth Glory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
NEW
3 - 2
MEL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
MEL
31%
27%
43%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CCM
0 - 3
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
WPH
1 - 1
MEL
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Perth Glory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
SYD
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2009 |
PER
4 - 0
NEW
49%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GOL
2 - 0
PER
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
PER
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
PER
1 - 1
BRI
47%
26%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |