Melbourne Victory vs Chiangrai United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
MCI
2 - 1
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PER
2 - 2
MEL
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
KAA
0 - 1
MEL
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 3
SYD
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
MEL
5 - 0
PER
63%
21%
17%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chiangrai United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
SIN
51%
22%
27%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 2
THP
60%
20%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHA
80%
14%
7%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
SUP
2 - 5
CHI
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
CHI
4 - 1
PRA
70%
18%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |