National Premier Victoria round 11

FC Melbourne Knights vs Oakleigh Cannons analysis

FC Melbourne Knights Oakleigh Cannons
34 ELO 45
0.3% Tilt -6.1%
7498º General ELO ranking 4324º
53º Country ELO ranking 23º
ELO win probability
24.4%
FC Melbourne Knights
24.1%
Draw
51.5%
Oakleigh Cannons

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
FC Melbourne Knights
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
51.5%
Win probability
Oakleigh Cannons
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Melbourne Knights
-23%
+47%
Oakleigh Cannons

Points and table prediction

FC Melbourne Knights
Their league position
Oakleigh Cannons
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
14º
53
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
South Melbourne
60
60
100%
Avondale Heights
54
54
100%
Oakleigh Cannons
53
53
100%
Heidelberg Utd
51
51
100%
Hume City FC
50
50
100%
Dandenong City
37
37
100%
FC Melbourne Knights
35
35
100%
Altona Magic
33
33
0%
Port Melbourne Sharks
33
33
0%
Dandenong Thunder SC
10º
28
28
10º
100%
St Albans Saints
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Green Gully Cavaliers
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Manningham United
13º
18
18
13º
100%
Moreland City
14º
14
14
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC Melbourne Knights
Oakleigh Cannons
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC Melbourne Knights
Oakleigh Cannons
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Melbourne Knights
FC Melbourne Knights
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2024
ALM
Altona Magic
1 - 0
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
24%
23%
54%
36 25 11 0
12 Apr. 2024
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
0 - 1
Heidelberg Utd
HEU
46%
22%
32%
36 37 1 0
06 Apr. 2024
MNG
Manningham United
1 - 2
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
20%
20%
60%
35 20 15 +1
22 Mar. 2024
MEL
FC Melbourne Knights
2 - 5
Hume City FC
HUM
68%
18%
14%
36 29 7 -1
16 Mar. 2024
MCF
Moreland City
0 - 1
FC Melbourne Knights
MEL
11%
16%
72%
36 12 24 0

Matches

Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2024
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
3 - 2
St Albans Saints
STA
89%
8%
3%
44 19 25 0
12 Apr. 2024
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
1 - 2
Avondale Heights
AVH
45%
24%
31%
44 45 1 0
05 Apr. 2024
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
3 - 0
Port Melbourne Sharks
POR
68%
19%
14%
43 36 7 +1
22 Mar. 2024
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
0 - 0
South Melbourne
SOU
48%
24%
29%
43 44 1 0
15 Mar. 2024
OAK
Oakleigh Cannons
4 - 1
Green Gully Cavaliers
GRE
84%
11%
5%
43 26 17 0